Storm Watch NYC: Soon-to-be Hurricane Joaquin Could Head North

Courtesy NOAA.

The National Hurricane Center predicts that tropical storm Joaquin will be a hurricane by midday Wednesday.

The storm is expected to head for the Bahamas, then swing to the west as it heads north. Beyond that the models are still fuzzy.

Weather master Jeff Masters of the Weather Underground points out: "During its slow westward trek, Joaquin will be passing over ocean temperatures near 30°C (86°F)--the warmest seen there since record keeping began in 1880."

More heat (in conjunction with low wind shear and higher humidity) is associated with "more rapid intensification rates," Masters says.

On top of this, an" unusually intense heavy-rain event" is striking the area.

NOAA said Tues. night:

1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN ARE LIKELY TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...PRESENTING A THREAT FOR MINOR URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. LOCALIZED AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...PRESENT A LOCALIZED FLASH FLOOD THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN ARE LIKELY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...PRESENTING A THREAT FOR MINOR URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. LOCALIZED AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...PRESENT A LOCALIZED FLASH FLOOD THREAT.

ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS WEEK THROUGH THIS WEEKEND WHICH COULD BRING ADDITIONAL FLOODING CONCERNS.


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